After a quick drop of $3-4 a barrel the week before last, oil prices steadied last week as the markets contemplated just how effective the OPEC/NOPEC production freeze will be in the short term. Speculators had enthusiastically embraced the production freeze when it was announced late last year and drove open interest in futures to record highs. The cuts, however, did not come fast enough or be deep enough to offset increasing oil production from other countries and lower demand. As one important trader put it, “The OPEC cuts were good enough to prevent a repeat of the glut of last year, but it’s a different story if you want to have oil at $60 or $70.” For now, the physical oil market continues to indicate an oversupply situation.
Archive for October, 2013
On October 19, 1973, the Organization of Arab Oil Exporting Countries (OAPEC) proclaimed an embargo of oil exports to the United States, in response to U.S. support for Israel in the 1973 Arab-Israeli War. The embargo, which was accompanied by cuts in overall production by OAPEC countries, lasted until March 1974. Oil prices shot up […]
By Tom Whipple 1. Oil and the Global Economy New York oil prices fell last week during volatile trading, closing Friday at $102.02 amidst concerns about the US government shutdown and the possibility of a US debt default later this week. London crude, however, which is more concerned with problems in exports from Libya and […]
By Tom Whipple 1. Oil and the Global Economy The price drop which began in early September continued through last Tuesday, but reversed on Wednesday following the news that the southern leg of the Keystone pipeline would be opening before the end of the year. New York oil traded around $103 on Thursday, then on […]
By Steve Andrews. Early last week, Shell Oil announced it was shutting down its oil shale research project in western Colorado. Combine their departure with Chevron’s exit back in February 2012 and you can count another nail in oil shale’s coffin. Yet since this unconventional resource ranks among the largest in the world, estimated by […]
By Tom Whipple 1. Oil and the Global Economy Oil prices were little changed last week with New York crude trading around $103 a barrel and London around $108. While several of the usual factors moved prices last week – stronger Chinese manufacturing numbers, a falling dollar, and a rebound in Libyan exports – most […]