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Oil rallies as fears over Brexit abate

By on 20 Jun 2016 in analysis, notable posts

Crude oil storage tanks are seen from above at the Cushing oil hub, in Cushing, Oklahoma, in this March 24, 2016 file photo. REUTERS/Nick Oxford

(Reuters) Oil rallied on Monday, lifted by a wave of investor confidence and a weaker dollar after polls showed a diminishing chance that Britain may vote to leave the European Union later this week.

August Brent crude futures were up 90 cents at $50.07 a barrel by 0843 GMT, set for a gain of 6 percent in two trading days. NYMEX crude for July delivery, which expires on Tuesday, was up 80 cents at $48.78 a barrel.

Campaigning for Britain’s vote on EU membership resumed on Sunday after a three-day hiatus prompted by the killing of a pro-EU lawmaker.

Three opinion polls ahead of Thursday’s vote showed the ‘Remain’ camp recovering some momentum, although the overall picture remained one of an evenly split electorate.

Perceived safe havens such as gold, the U.S. dollar, German bonds and the Swiss franc came under pressure, while oil looked set for its largest two-day rise in a month and the likes of copper and equities rallied.

“For oil as a risky asset, what we’ve seen are intraday gyrations that are coming from the spillover effects of ‘risk-on/risk-off’ moves that follow the poll numbers,” BNP Paribas global head of commodity strategy Harry Tchilinguirian said.

The pound climbed 1.6 percent to $1.4589, extending a recovery from last Thursday’s more than two-month trough of $1.4013. [USD/]

“With Brexit dominating the market headlines, it might be moves in the U.S. dollar that drive the oil market at least until we get that out of the way,” said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney.

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